BC Legislature (Vernon Matters photo)

By Pete McIntyre

B.C. politics

New poll suggests ‘two-horse race’ for B.C. election

Jul 9, 2024 | 6:00 AM

The B.C. election is just over three months away, and the latest poll suggests David Eby’s New Democrats have a slim two point lead on the upstart Conservative Party of B.C.

The Liaison Strategies poll indicates the NDP have 40 per cent of voter support, with the Conservatives at 38, the BC Greens have 10 per cent, and the BC United are last at 9 per cent.

The poll, done at the end of June for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada, surveyed 1,097 people using interactive voice response technology.

The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.96 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

“The race continues to narrow with a 2 point lead for the BC NDP over the BC Conservatives,” said David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies. “Perhaps more worryingly for the NDP are that the regional numbers have tightened considerably. In Metro Vancouver the NDP lead 42 per cent to 39 per cent for the Conservatives – so they are effectively tied within the regional margin of error.”

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Valentin said on Vancouver Island the NDP are leading with 43 per cent followed by the Greens (24 per cent) and Conservatives (23 per cent) effectively tied for second.”

“Outside of Metro Vancouver and Vancouver Island, it’s the Conservatives who are leading by 15 points over the NDP (48-33),” he stated. “BC United is down three points to just 9 per cent in this survey and fare best in Metro Vancouver where they notch 10 per cent. Increasingly, in most of the province it looks like a two horse race.”

The provincial election will be held Saturday, Oct. 19.